Analyst: “The West prepares ‘color scenario’ in Moldavia”

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“A ‘color scenario’ is being prepared for Moldavia. This becomes obvious, if one reads very carefully the tone of a note by PACE co-rapporteurs on Moldavia, Josette Durrieu and Egidius Vareikis,” the head of Moldavian and Transdnestr department from the Orthodox Political Scientists, Vladimir Bukarsky stated to a REGNUM correspondent.

The expert notes that the same praises from Western diplomats about “moving on the way of eurointegration” were addressed to Shevardnadze and Kuchma, but this had not helped them to maintain their regimes, and the West had directly supported “color revolutions” in Tbilisi and Kiev. “The co-rapporteurs noted that the main aim of their visit is to monitor process of preparing to the parliamentary elections in Moldavia. They criticized the introduction of six-percent barrier and blocking the creation of party coalitions. As we remember, during the elections in 2005, independent experts had registered an array of violations, but Western observers expressed uncommonly benevolently to the ruling party of Vladimir Voronin. Yuri Rosca, was being ready to lead a crowd of his supporters, had been ordered not to stick his neck out and to cooperate with current authorities. This cooperation still has been ongoing”, Bukharskiy noted.

But the analyst decides that if the West will be undeceived in an unambiguously anti-Russian course of Vladimir Voronin, the actions will be uniquely hard. In the last year of his presidency, Voronin took many steps, directed to approach with Russia. It is explained by the objective need to mobilize Russian-speaking and pro-Russian electorate, that is the only hope of ruling party. This course was especially revealed during Georgian-Ossetian war, when Voronin, in contrast to the other Eastern European leaders, supported the Russian activities, telling apart the Transdnestr situation from one in Abkhazia and South Ossetia. His meeting with Dmitry Medvedev indicated the break of isolation ring around Russia, building by the West. Moldavian leaders, though continue to speak about eurointegration, more often declare about strategic partnership with Russia and other SIC countries, about their neutrality and the special position in GUAM Organization. Ukrainian President Kuchma acted in the similar way in the last year of his presidency," the expert pointed out.

“It is quite possible, that Yuri Rosca, being actively cooperating with current authorities, will make himself scarce again,” continued Bukarsky. “But support grows of other extreme power in the right-wing in Moldavia. It is, above of all, the Liberal party, leading by the young Mayor of Chisinau, Dorin Chirtoacă, named one year ago as ‘the Moldavian Saakashvili’. There is no doubt that Yuri Rosca will desert to the ‘right’ side and try to reserve a place in the front line of revolutionaries at once he will feel the reality of ‘color scenario’ and inability of central authorities to suppress disorders”.

The present PCRM (Party of Communists of the Republic of Moldova) has no reliable allies in the West, and it cannot have. The only chance the ruling party could use for to keep the power — is to suppress disorders while they being prepared in the way that Alexander Lukashenko and Islom Karimov did, and with the same resolution. Certainly, the West would not like such actions, and Voronin would be added into the list of “world fugitives”, but there is no other way for ruling party to keep stability in the country", Vladimir Bukarsky summed up.